Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 1.038645 1.181861 1.337879 1.520506 1.728496 1.958086 2.230880
2025-12-07 0.793369 0.982158 1.205823 1.490560 1.843800 2.268174 2.817611
2025-12-14 0.647387 0.849580 1.103454 1.446054 1.897144 2.472019 3.262363
2025-12-21 0.555842 0.765020 1.040430 1.430258 1.969197 2.690119 3.731430
2025-12-28 0.506905 0.727154 1.029357 1.475274 2.118560 3.016249 4.370149
2026-01-04 0.447856 0.666499 0.977699 1.454195 2.168152 3.202749 4.824523
2026-01-11 0.414801 0.638471 0.967719 1.489283 2.298494 3.512552 5.484580
2026-01-18 0.379360 0.602336 0.940896 1.494301 2.381009 3.754719 6.060786
2026-01-25 0.343344 0.561126 0.901471 1.474293 2.420078 3.929844 6.543503
2026-02-01 0.309235 0.519259 0.856483 1.439848 2.430605 4.057340 6.956305
2026-02-08 0.279733 0.481914 0.814967 1.406298 2.437818 4.177355 7.363873
2026-02-15 0.260849 0.460576 0.797776 1.411631 2.510358 4.411515 7.987721
2026-02-22 0.237967 0.432398 0.770205 1.403374 2.571255 4.653757 8.694605
2026-03-01 0.213944 0.400125 0.733065 1.375735 2.597615 4.843520 9.340290
2026-03-08 0.191220 0.367530 0.691556 1.334707 2.593194 4.974019 9.885283
2026-03-15 0.174768 0.344858 0.665786 1.320145 2.636588 5.197303 10.634153
2026-03-22 0.166876 0.337844 0.668825 1.361644 2.793807 5.656506 11.908671
2026-03-29 0.152922 0.317191 0.643018 1.342213 2.825168 5.866834 12.690240
2026-04-05 0.145779 0.309656 0.642545 1.374558 2.966843 6.316697 14.032428
2026-04-12 0.136557 0.296757 0.629697 1.379185 3.049512 6.650282 15.157158
2026-04-19 0.126121 0.280145 0.607357 1.360740 3.079401 6.872372 16.055246
2026-04-26 0.115572 0.262193 0.580345 1.328986 3.075786 7.019355 16.795564
2026-05-03 0.106102 0.245699 0.554904 1.298057 3.070520 7.161416 17.539512